1. The turnout of 2016 was 80,000, about 2/3 of those that came in 2008
2. Young people and more lower and middle-income voters.
3. Republican turnouts are crushing previously set records, while Democrats are falling behind
4. He thinks that the Obama administration's main failure was mobilizing the large voting enthusiasm into an effective force post-election. Sanders states he would use this force for continued fights against corporate interests and in congressional and state elections.
5. Rubio is increasingly seeming to be the last candidate standing against Trump.
6. He lost in what was supposed to be his territory.
7. Rubio's campaign is relying on his success in more moderate states like New York and California, states that will most likely reject Trump and Cruz.
8. He won 2nd in New Hampshire, so he is deciding to target Northeastern states and hopefully gain some support from Jeb's power base.
9. Trump does not yet view Rubio as a threat to his campaign.
Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Blog 3.7
1. The debate used to be focused on the level of liberalism of Obama's future candidates, but now it is over the obstructionism of Senate Republicans.
2. If the party's situation gets worse, Republicans may regret not letting in Obama's compromise candidate, who will be moderate compared to the nominee a very likely Democrat Senate will elect.
3. They can either maintain the party's strategy or allow for the nomination and face party disgrace.
4. It's pretty scary
5. There have been 3 vacancies during an election year, and an additional 2 from the previous year that were filled during election years.
6. Grassley claims that we have an 80-year tradition of not confirming Supreme Court appointments during election years. It's been 80 years since the Senate filled a seat that opened up on election years.
7. Democrats claim that as many as 14 nominees have been confirmed in election years in America's history. Only one, the appointment of Anthony Kennedy, occurred within the past 70 years.
8. The two appointees before Kennedy were both blocked by the then Democrat-controlled Senate.
9. The two parties, which have become more and more polarized, are working harder and harder to prevent nominations from going through.
10. None whatsoever, so it is possible for the Senate to wait until the next election.
2. If the party's situation gets worse, Republicans may regret not letting in Obama's compromise candidate, who will be moderate compared to the nominee a very likely Democrat Senate will elect.
3. They can either maintain the party's strategy or allow for the nomination and face party disgrace.
4. It's pretty scary
5. There have been 3 vacancies during an election year, and an additional 2 from the previous year that were filled during election years.
6. Grassley claims that we have an 80-year tradition of not confirming Supreme Court appointments during election years. It's been 80 years since the Senate filled a seat that opened up on election years.
7. Democrats claim that as many as 14 nominees have been confirmed in election years in America's history. Only one, the appointment of Anthony Kennedy, occurred within the past 70 years.
8. The two appointees before Kennedy were both blocked by the then Democrat-controlled Senate.
9. The two parties, which have become more and more polarized, are working harder and harder to prevent nominations from going through.
10. None whatsoever, so it is possible for the Senate to wait until the next election.
Blog 3.6
1. McConell is going to wait for the next president to allow any supreme court justice to be selected by the Senate.
2. The Senate did all in its power to block him from appointment, starting the current trend of blocking an appointment by a different-party president.
3. In 2007, Chuck Schumer, a Democrat in the Senate during Bush's term, said the Senate would reject any appointments made by President Bush except in, "extraordinary circumstances."
4. Cases on abortion, birth control, voting rights, and marriage equality
5. Cruz believes that the Court will help mandate "unlimited abortion-on-demand, partial birth abortion with taxpayer funding and no parental notification" and will do away with the 2nd Amendment.
6. The Democrats have, in the eyes of the Republicans, started the tradition of blocking Supreme Court appointees based on politics and weakened the filibuster to ram appointees down the minority's throat.
7. It maintains the tradition of checks and balances in our government.
2. The Senate did all in its power to block him from appointment, starting the current trend of blocking an appointment by a different-party president.
3. In 2007, Chuck Schumer, a Democrat in the Senate during Bush's term, said the Senate would reject any appointments made by President Bush except in, "extraordinary circumstances."
4. Cases on abortion, birth control, voting rights, and marriage equality
5. Cruz believes that the Court will help mandate "unlimited abortion-on-demand, partial birth abortion with taxpayer funding and no parental notification" and will do away with the 2nd Amendment.
6. The Democrats have, in the eyes of the Republicans, started the tradition of blocking Supreme Court appointees based on politics and weakened the filibuster to ram appointees down the minority's throat.
7. It maintains the tradition of checks and balances in our government.
Blog 3.5
1. Fewer Senators retire each year, which makes the data more susceptible to change based on smaller fluctuations.
2. Many do not actually register as lobbyists, but instead do work that is very similar to lobbying but does not require them to register with the government.
3. The most common to become lobbyists are party or committee leaders, or former members of the Ways and Means committee.
4. They have the practice needed to communicate and persuade Congress members. They also generally are experts in access, which they can sell to multiple clients.
5. These revolving door lobbyists give their employer a better chance of winning support for their side (63% wins with firms who employ revolving-door lobbyists)
6. For every one dollar public interest groups/unions spend, corporations spend about thirty-four dollars.
7. The author says more should be done to make it more likely for these politicians to go into working for public interest groups.
2. Many do not actually register as lobbyists, but instead do work that is very similar to lobbying but does not require them to register with the government.
3. The most common to become lobbyists are party or committee leaders, or former members of the Ways and Means committee.
4. They have the practice needed to communicate and persuade Congress members. They also generally are experts in access, which they can sell to multiple clients.
5. These revolving door lobbyists give their employer a better chance of winning support for their side (63% wins with firms who employ revolving-door lobbyists)
6. For every one dollar public interest groups/unions spend, corporations spend about thirty-four dollars.
7. The author says more should be done to make it more likely for these politicians to go into working for public interest groups.
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Blog 3.4
1. 3%
2. A good amount of Hillary or Bernie supporters do not support/trust their first choice's number one competitor.
3. They will most likely support Bernie, as he has much more appeal among young people.
4. Older voters, even women, tend to support Hillary, while younger people support Bernie.
5. +/- 4 pct points
1. 5% between Trump and Cruz, and 13% between Trump and Rubio.
2. The Evangelical Christian population, who more than likely support Ted Cruz.
3. In January Cruz led Trump 25 to 22%
4. The highest number of first time this election cycle will be attending, 40%
5. 4 percentage points, Michael Bloomberg would not do well running for president.
1. The Democratic Caucus was much closer between Bernie and Hillary than the poll people gathered.
2. Rubio won the Caucus, with a 4% lead over Trump
3. Rubio, Cruz, and Sanders all had higher numbers
4. Cruz and Rubio both performed much better than was initially expected. Also, Bernie was ridiculously close to Hillary, which shows his campaign has been holding its own against Hillary's.
5. 2,844 dollars and some change per person
2. A good amount of Hillary or Bernie supporters do not support/trust their first choice's number one competitor.
3. They will most likely support Bernie, as he has much more appeal among young people.
4. Older voters, even women, tend to support Hillary, while younger people support Bernie.
5. +/- 4 pct points
1. 5% between Trump and Cruz, and 13% between Trump and Rubio.
2. The Evangelical Christian population, who more than likely support Ted Cruz.
3. In January Cruz led Trump 25 to 22%
4. The highest number of first time this election cycle will be attending, 40%
5. 4 percentage points, Michael Bloomberg would not do well running for president.
1. The Democratic Caucus was much closer between Bernie and Hillary than the poll people gathered.
2. Rubio won the Caucus, with a 4% lead over Trump
3. Rubio, Cruz, and Sanders all had higher numbers
4. Cruz and Rubio both performed much better than was initially expected. Also, Bernie was ridiculously close to Hillary, which shows his campaign has been holding its own against Hillary's.
5. 2,844 dollars and some change per person
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